The 4th house is the oldest ground in astrology, home, roots, and where we come from. This study tests whether it holds: whether the chart can describe the childhood you actually lived, from the home itself to the people who raised you.
Your chart is read blind, from birth data alone. Its predictions are frozen before your answers are opened, then compared with your real childhood and a set of plausible wrong charts.
Three related questions, evaluated separately, because a method can succeed at one and fail at another.
Does the 4th house describe the home you grew up in, settled or restless, safe or turbulent, how often it moved, how deep the roots run? This is the claim the 4th house makes most directly.
Significators examinedWhich parent does the 4th house signify? Astrologers have never agreed, some say the mother, some the father, some split them between the 4th and the 10th. Rather than assume, this study tests the competing claims against who actually raised you.
Claims we compareDoes your true birth chart do better than plausible incorrect ones? This isolates whether the correct data adds anything beyond common patterns and base rates.
The comparisonsThis study publishes in three phases, each one a deeper look as the data grows: a first read of the signal at 400 charts, a stronger pass with tighter estimates at 2,500, and the complete analysis at 5,000.
A first look at the data once 400 charts are in. Early signal, wide error bars, published openly.
The analysis rerun at 2,500 charts. Tighter estimates, subgroup checks, and a look at what held up from Phase 1.
The complete analysis at 5,000 charts. The final word on what this study found, hits and misses alike.
Status: the first milestone is still filling. Preliminary findings will be published right here the moment Phase 1 completes, every participant gets word when they land, and the analysis then rolls forward through the expanded and full phases as more charts arrive.
Blind first. Your chart is calculated and its predictions about your childhood recorded before anyone reads your answers.
Contested claims, tested, not assumed. Where astrologers disagree about which parent the 4th house rules, the study checks the competing versions instead of picking one.
Misses published. The findings will include where this fails, that's the point of running it.